Daria Kasatkina vs Tatjana MariaRome Round of 64

Rome · WTA · Round of 64
#63WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
#76WTA
1703ELO
1585Clay ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Kasatkina D.
7-5 6-1
Maria T.
Kasatkina D.
762
Maria T.
510

Daria Kasatkina defeated Tatjana Maria 7-5 6-1 in the Rome round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #63, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Daria Kasatkina came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-06Indian WellsR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kasatkina D.Maria T.
Serve
12
Return
16

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Break points saved·Even
53%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 133). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
13
Break points saved·Dominant
80
31
Break points won·Clear edge
100
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
9
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
47
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+184 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Clay Elo 1585
7.4Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1703
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
4.8
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
7.5
4.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.7
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
92
64

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Maria T.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw