Daria Kasatkina vs Tatjana MariaIndian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#76WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Kasatkina D.
6-2 6-1
Maria T.
Kasatkina D.
662
Maria T.
210

Daria Kasatkina defeated Tatjana Maria 6-2 6-1 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #63, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-06RomeR64clayDaria Kasatkina7-5 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Maria T.
0
Serve
9
95
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (184 vs 195). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
13
Break points saved·Dominant
80
31
Break points won·Clear edge
100
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
9
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
47
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+149 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1608
7.4Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1703
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
4.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
6.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.4
Country comfort
4.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
92
64

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Maria T.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw