Varvara Gracheva vs Jaqueline CristianRome Qualifying Round 2

Rome · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#95WTA
1810ELO
1701Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
#36WTA
1834ELO
1746Clay ELO
$742kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
Gracheva V.
3-6 6-2 6-3
Cristian J.
Gracheva V.
3662
Cristian J.
6231

Varvara Gracheva defeated Jaqueline Cristian 3-6 6-2 6-3 in the Rome qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jaqueline Cristian came in ranked #36. Varvara Gracheva extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-26Bad HomburgR32grassVarvara Gracheva6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Cristian J.

Cristian J.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Gracheva V.Cristian J.
Serve
37
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
52%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (126 vs 137). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
74
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
76
84
Break points won·Clear edge
87
71
Deciding sets·Even
90
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
65
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1701
Surface ELO
5.6+45 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1834
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
7.7
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
6.5
3-set count
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast