Karen Khachanov vs Flavio CobolliMadrid Masters Round of 32

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#22ATP
1828ELO
1787Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 April 2024
clay
#10ATP
1896ELO
1862Clay ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Khachanov K.
7-5 6-4
Cobolli F.
Khachanov K.
762
Cobolli F.
540

Karen Khachanov defeated Flavio Cobolli 7-5 6-4 in the Madrid Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Karen Khachanov claimed a first win over Flavio Cobolli in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-04WimbledonR32grassFlavio Cobolli6-0 6.4-7.7 7.7-6.5 2-6 2-6

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Khachanov K.Cobolli F.
Serve
54
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.5
5.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (131 vs 159). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
76
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
81
35
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
98
Tiebreaks·Even
92
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1787
Surface ELO
5.9+75 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1896
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.1
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
61

Khachanov K.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Cobolli F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 33%