Brandon Nakashima vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliMadrid Masters Qualifying Round 2

Madrid Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#32ATP
1839ELO
1735Clay ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 April 2024
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Nakashima B.
7-6 7-6
Ugo Carabelli C.
Nakashima B.
77782
Ugo Carabelli C.
64660

Brandon Nakashima defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 7-6 7-6 in the Madrid Masters qualifying round 2 on clay. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve advantage — Nakashima B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Nakashima B.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (177 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
90
Break points won·Dominant
13
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
89
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1735
Surface ELO
5.5+6 Clay Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
6.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
8.7
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 33%