Alex De Minaur vs Rafael NadalBarcelona Round of 32

Barcelona · ATP · Round of 32
#5ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 April 2024
clay
40 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLL
De Minaur A.
7-5 6-1
Nadal R.
De Minaur A.
762
Nadal R.
510

Alex De Minaur defeated Rafael Nadal 7-5 6-1 in the Barcelona round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Nadal came in leading the head-to-head 4–1. Alex De Minaur narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR64clayRafael Nadal7-6(6) 6-3
2023-01-02United CupRRhardAlex De Minaur3-6 6-1 7-5
2020-01-06Atp CupSFhardRafael Nadal4-6 7-5 6-1
2019-01-14Australian OpenR32hardRafael Nadal6-1 6-2 6-4
2018-07-02WimbledonR32grassRafael Nadal6-1 6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Nadal R.

Nadal R.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

De Minaur A.Nadal R.
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
97
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Even
97
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 105 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
9.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
9.1
Surface transition
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
80

De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 40%