Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal — United Cup Round Robin

United Cup · ATP · Round Robin
Alex De Minaur
AUS7
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
ESP4
Rafael Nadal
40 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLL
De Minaur A.
3-6 6-1 7-5
Nadal R.
De Minaur A.
3672
Nadal R.
6151

Alex De Minaur defeated Rafael Nadal 3-6 6-1 7-5 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Nadal came in leading the head-to-head 4–1. Alex De Minaur narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR64clayRafael Nadal7-6(6) 6-3
2024-04-15BarcelonaR32clayAlex De Minaur7-5 6-1
2020-01-06Atp CupSFhardRafael Nadal4-6 7-5 6-1
2019-01-14Australian OpenR32hardRafael Nadal6-1 6-2 6-4
2018-07-02WimbledonR32grassRafael Nadal6-1 6-2 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Nadal R.

Nadal R.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Nadal R.
48
Serve
—
80
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Nadal R.
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Nadal R.
Clutch Rating·Even
95
97
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Even
97
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 36 days (−0.7)
Nadal R.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Country comfort
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Nadal R.
Freshness·
77
—

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw

Final
Fritz T.[3]
Berrettini M.[5]
7-647-66
Tiafoe F.
Musetti L.
6-20-0
Semi-finals
Fritz T.[3]
Hurkacz H.[2]
7-657-65
Musetti L.
Sakellaridis S.
6-16-1
Tiafoe F.
Zuk K.
6-36-3
Tsitsipas S.[1]
Berrettini M.[5]
4-67-626-4
Round Robin
Tiafoe F.
Machac T.
6-32-4
Coric B.[8]
Rinderknech A.[6]
7-617-62
Coric B.[8]
Cerundolo F.[17]
7-56-4
Gojo B.
Coria F.
7-656-4
Meligeni Alves F.
Durasovic V.
6-36-3
Kubler J.
Evans D.
6-37-63
Musetti L.
Durasovic V.
7-676-3
Dimitrov G.[16]
Goffin D.[12]
6-47-5
Gojo B.
Sakellaridis S.
6-46-2
Berrettini M.[5]
Hurkacz H.[2]
6-43-66-3
Musetti L.
Michalski D.
6-16-1
Norrie C.[15]
Fritz T.[3]
6-45-76-4
Sakellaridis S.
Bergs Z.
5-76-16-3
Tsitsipas S.[1]
Dimitrov G.[16]
4-66-27-64
Kuzmanov D.
Pervolarakis M.
6-16-1
Kuzmanov D.
Bergs Z.
6-26-0
Hurkacz H.[2]
Wawrinka S.[9]
7-656-4
Huesler M.
Michalski D.
6-36-2
Hurkacz H.[2]
Bublik A.[13]
7-684-66-3
Skatov T.
Michalski D.
7-676-2
Wawrinka S.[9]
Bublik A.[13]
6-37-63
Huesler M.
Skatov T.
4-66-36-3
Fritz T.[3]
Zverev A.[10]
6-16-4
Tiafoe F.
Otte O.
7-56-4
Fritz T.[3]
Lehecka J.[14]
6-36-4
Lehecka J.[14]
Zverev A.[10]
6-46-2
De Minaur A.[7]
Nadal R.[4]
3-66-17-5
Kubler J.
Ramos A.
6-34-66-3
Norrie C.[15]
Nadal R.[4]
3-66-36-4
Evans D.
Ramos A.
6-31-66-3
Norrie C.[15]
De Minaur A.[7]
6-36-3
Berrettini M.[5]
Monteiro T.[11]
6-47-67
Musetti L.
Meligeni Alves F.
6-36-4
Berrettini M.[5]
Ruud C.[18]
6-46-4
Ruud C.[18]
Monteiro T.[11]
6-36-2
Gojo B.
Mannarino A.
7-653-67-65
Rinderknech A.[6]
Cerundolo F.[17]
6-46-2
Mannarino A.
Coria F.
6-16-0
Otte O.
Svrcina D.
7-616-2
Tsitsipas S.[1]
Goffin D.[12]
6-36-2
Tiafoe F.
Evans D.
3-67-56-3
Tsitsipas S.[1]
Coric B.[8]
6-06-747-5