Zhuoxuan Bai vs Lucrezia Stefanini — Oeiras 125 Round of 32

Oeiras 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
CHN
Zhuoxuan Bai
#247WTA
1584ELO
1444Clay ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 April 2024
clay
Lucrezia Stefanini
ITA
Lucrezia Stefanini
#145WTA
1527ELO
1476Clay ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
Bai Z.
7-6 7-5
Stefanini L.
Bai Z.
7872
Stefanini L.
665–

Zhuoxuan Bai defeated Lucrezia Stefanini 7-6 7-5 in the Oeiras 125 round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Lucrezia Stefanini came in ranked #145.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bai Z.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Stefanini L.

Stefanini L.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Bai Z.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Bai Z.Stefanini L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 119). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bai Z.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Stefanini L.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1444
Surface ELO
5.6+31 Clay Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1584
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1527
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.5
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bai Z.Stefanini L.
Freshness·Even
89
86

Bai Z.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Stefanini L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Lamens S.
Tauson C.
6-45-76-4
Semi-finals
Lamens S.
Mladenovic K.
4-66-06-0
Tauson C.
Pera B.
W/O
Quarter-finals
Pera B.
Jorge F.
6-46-1
Tauson C.
Jorge M.
6-16-3
Lamens S.
Falei A.
6-46-1
Mladenovic K.
Lepchenko V.
6-36-4
R16
Pera B.
Lukas T.
3-66-16-3
Jorge F.
Zarazua R.
6-37-5
Tauson C.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-36-4
Jorge M.
Dart H.
6-36-1
Falei A.
Bai Z.
6-46-4
Lamens S.
Avdeeva J.
7-56-0
Lepchenko V.
Kraus S.
7-646-3
Mladenovic K.
Jones F.
6-47-66
R32
Falei A.
Preston T.
6-46-2
Lukas T.
Koevermans A.
6-16-4
Jorge F.
Zakharova A.
3-66-16-4
Zarazua R.
Parks A.
6-06-2
Tauson C.
Monnet C.
6-36-1
Parrizas Diaz N.
Mateas M.
6-34-66-3
Jorge M.
Santos A.
6-27-5
Dart H.
Garcia M.
6-26-4
Bai Z.
Stefanini L.
7-667-5
Avdeeva J.
Eala A.
2-66-46-4
Lamens S.
Arango E.
7-56-2
Pera B.
Sharma A.
1-2
Lepchenko V.
Sramkova R.
7-657-5
Kraus S.
Knutson G.
7-676-1
Mladenovic K.
Sebov K.
6-46-2
Jones F.
Masarova R.
7-652-66-1