Daria Kasatkina vs Anhelina KalininaCharleston Round of 16

Charleston · WTA · Round of 16
#63WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 April 2024
clay
#59WTA
1827ELO
1806Clay ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWW
Kasatkina D.
6-1 6-4
Kalinina A.
Kasatkina D.
662
Kalinina A.
140

Daria Kasatkina defeated Anhelina Kalinina 6-1 6-4 in the Charleston round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Anhelina Kalinina came in ranked #59, defending last year's round of 64. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-26EastbourneR32grassDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-1
2022-06-13BerlinR32grassDaria Kasatkina5-7 6-3 6-1
2021-10-18MoscowR32hardAnhelina Kalinina6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kalinina A.

Kalinina A.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.4
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 109). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
82
Break points saved·Even
80
82
Break points won·Even
100
97
Deciding sets·Even
93
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
47
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1770
Surface ELO
5.5+36 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1827
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
5.4
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.5
Country comfort
4.8
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
97

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kalinina A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 70%