Anhelina Kalinina vs Daria KasatkinaMoscow Round of 32

Moscow · WTA · Round of 32
#59WTA
1827ELO
1743Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 October 2021
hard
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Kalinina A.
6-2 6-3
Kasatkina D.
Kalinina A.
662
Kasatkina D.
230

Anhelina Kalinina defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-2 6-3 in the Moscow round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in leading the head-to-head 3–0. Anhelina Kalinina claimed a first win over Daria Kasatkina in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-01CharlestonR16clayDaria Kasatkina6-1 6-4
2023-06-26EastbourneR32grassDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-1
2022-06-13BerlinR32grassDaria Kasatkina5-7 6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kalinina A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kalinina A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kalinina A.Kasatkina D.
Serve
0
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
82
78
Break points saved·Even
82
80
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
93
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
58
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1743
Surface ELO
5.2+14 Hard Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1827
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1795
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.3
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
95

Kalinina A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast