Matteo Arnaldi vs Arthur FilsMiami Masters Round of 128

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
#24ATP
2001ELO
1930Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$7.9MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
Arnaldi M.
6-3 6-4
Fils A.
Arnaldi M.
662
Fils A.
340

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Arthur Fils 6-3 6-4 in the Miami Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Arthur Fils came in ranked #24. Matteo Arnaldi extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR64clayMatteo Arnaldi6-4 7-6(7)
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayMatteo Arnaldi6-3 4-6 6-4 6-2
2023-08-28US OpenR64hardMatteo Arnaldi3-6 7-5 7-6(5) 5-7 6-4
2023-04-24Madrid MastersQ2clayMatteo Arnaldi3-6 6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fils A.

Fils A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Fils A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Fils A.
23
Serve
56
22
Return
30

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.4
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
89
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Clear edge
51
70
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Hard Elo 1732
Surface ELO
8.5+198 Hard Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
8.9Overall Elo 2001
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
7.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
88

Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Fils A.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%