Matteo Arnaldi vs Arthur FilsMadrid Masters Qualifying Round 2

Madrid Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
#23ATP
2001ELO
1935Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$7.9MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
Arnaldi M.
3-6 6-3 6-2
Fils A.
Arnaldi M.
3662
Fils A.
6321

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Arthur Fils 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the Madrid Masters qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Arthur Fils came in ranked #23, but Matteo Arnaldi had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Matteo Arnaldi extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR64clayMatteo Arnaldi6-4 7-6(7)
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayMatteo Arnaldi6-3 4-6 6-4 6-2
2024-03-18Miami MastersR128hardMatteo Arnaldi6-3 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenR64hardMatteo Arnaldi3-6 7-5 7-6(5) 5-7 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Fils A.

Fils A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Fils A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Arnaldi M.Fils A.
Serve
75
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Even
5.8
5.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (195 vs 195). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
89
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Clear edge
51
70
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Clay Elo 1830
Surface ELO
8.2+105 Clay Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
8.9Overall Elo 2001
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
5.8
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
8.2
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
92

Arnaldi M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Fils A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%