Anastasia Potapova vs Jasmine Paolini — Indian Wells Round of 16
Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 16
#25WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 12 March 2024 ·
hard
#21WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLL
Potapova A.7-5 0-6 6-3
Paolini J.
Potapova A.
7062
Paolini J.
5631
Anastasia Potapova defeated Jasmine Paolini 7-5 0-6 6-3 in the Indian Wells round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #21, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round of 128. Anastasia Potapova narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.
Key context
- Match story: Anastasia Potapova closed it out in three sets, 7–5 0–6 6–3.
Head to head
1–4| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Indian Wells | R64 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 6-7(5) 6-2 6-3 |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells | R64 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 6-7 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-08-15 | Cincinnati | R32 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 7-6(2) 6-3 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati | R32 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 7-6 6-3 |
| 2024-03-06 | Indian Wells | R16 | hard | Anastasia Potapova | 7-5 0-6 6-3 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
55%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
1.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (184 vs 163). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Clear edge
60
77
Break points saved·Even
43
46
Break points won·Even
93
96
Deciding sets·Even
93
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
15
87
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
68
88
Potapova A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d) · Paolini J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast