Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ignacio BuseSantiago CH Round of 16

Santiago CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 March 2024
clay
#33ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-6 6-4
Buse I.
Ugo Carabelli C.
71162
Buse I.
6940

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Ignacio Buse 7-6 6-4 in the Santiago CH round of 16 on clay. Camilo Ugo Carabelli extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30MarrakechR16clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-3 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Buse I.
24
Serve
41
36
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
3.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (175 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
63
Break points saved·Even
90
87
Break points won·Dominant
62
28
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7Clay Elo 1741
Surface ELO
4.3+46 Clay Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1822
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
3.0
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
1.9
Minutes 14d
7.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest · Buse I.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast