Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ignacio BuseMarrakech Round of 16

Marrakech · ATP · Round of 16
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#34ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-3 3-6 7-5
Buse I.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6372
Buse I.
3651

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Ignacio Buse 6-3 3-6 7-5 in the Marrakech round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Ignacio Buse came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Serve advantage — Buse I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Buse I.
24
Serve
41
36
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
5.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
63
Break points saved·Even
90
87
Break points won·Dominant
62
28
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7Clay Elo 1741
Surface ELO
4.3+46 Clay Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1822
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
6.6
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
5.7
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
93

Ugo Carabelli C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Buse I.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast