Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns — Indian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR2
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 6 March 2024
hard
Peyton Stearns
USA
Peyton Stearns
#63WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
Sabalenka A.
6-7 6-2 7-6
Stearns P.
Sabalenka A.
626782
Stearns P.
772661

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Peyton Stearns 6-7 6-2 7-6 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR64clayAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-3
2025-04-22MadridR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Stearns P.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Stearns P.
96
Serve
34
39
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Stearns P.
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Stearns P.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
90
Break points won·Even
100
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
51
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Stearns P.
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+446 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1755
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1804
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
1.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.9
Country comfort
6.4
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Stearns P.
Freshness·Slight edge
88
97

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Stearns P.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 17%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Sakkari M.[9]
6-46-0
Semi-finals
Sakkari M.[9]
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-756-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Kostyuk M.[31]
6-26-1
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[3]
Yuan Y.
6-46-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Wozniacki C.
6-41-0
Kostyuk M.[31]
Potapova A.[28]
6-07-5
Sakkari M.[9]
Navarro E.[23]
5-76-26-4
R16
Potapova A.[28]
Paolini J.[13]
7-50-66-3
Yuan Y.
Kasatkina D.[11]
4-66-46-3
Gauff C.[3]
Mertens E.[24]
6-06-2
Sakkari M.[9]
Parry D.
6-23-66-3
Navarro E.[23]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-33-66-2
Wozniacki C.
Kerber A.
6-46-2
Kostyuk M.[31]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Putintseva Y.
6-16-2
R32
Mertens E.[24]
Osaka N.
7-56-4
Kostyuk M.[31]
Vondrousova M.[7]
W/O
Sabalenka A.[2]
Raducanu E.
6-37-5
Kasatkina D.[11]
Stephens S.
2-66-46-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Noskova L.[26]
6-46-0
Wozniacki C.
Volynets K.
6-24-66-0
Potapova A.[28]
Podoroska N.
6-16-1
Paolini J.[13]
Kalinskaya A.[21]
6-33-66-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
2-66-46-3
Yuan Y.
Dolehide C.
1-66-47-62
Gauff C.[3]
Bronzetti L.
6-27-65
Parry D.
Blinkova A.
6-46-3
Navarro E.[23]
Svitolina E.[16]
6-14-66-3
Kerber A.
Kudermetova V.[17]
6-47-5
Sakkari M.[9]
Garcia C.[20]
6-36-4
Putintseva Y.
Keys M.[18]
6-46-1
R64
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.
6-36-0
Svitolina E.[16]
Siniakova K.
6-32-66-1
Paolini J.[13]
Maria T.
6-36-3
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Sramkova R.
7-56-2
Raducanu E.
Yastremska D.[30]
4-0
Kostyuk M.[31]
Hontama M.
6-46-2
Parry D.
Fernandez L.[29]
7-55-76-2
Wozniacki C.
Vekic D.[25]
7-656-3
Potapova A.[28]
Bouzkova M.
7-56-1
Bronzetti L.
Kalinina A.[32]
6-36-4
Kerber A.
Ostapenko J.[10]
5-76-36-3
Volynets K.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-46-4
Keys M.[18]
Baptiste H.
6-44-67-64
Podoroska N.
Day K.
7-636-4
Kalinskaya A.[21]
Townsend T.
7-53-66-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-36-1
Vondrousova M.[7]
Pera B.
6-06-2
Dolehide C.
Azarenka V.[27]
7-52-66-3
Stephens S.
Cirstea S.[19]
6-07-5
Kasatkina D.[11]
Dodin O.
6-37-65
Mertens E.[24]
Wang X.
6-16-4
Gauff C.[3]
Burel C.
2-66-37-64
Garcia C.[20]
Tomova V.
6-13-66-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Stearns P.
6-726-27-66
Navarro E.[23]
Tsurenko L.
4-67-57-5
Noskova L.[26]
Giorgi C.
6-37-5
Yuan Y.
Zheng Q.[8]
6-46-3
Putintseva Y.
Alexandrova E.[15]
7-56-1
Kudermetova V.[17]
Hibino N.
6-17-5
Osaka N.
Samsonova L.[14]
7-56-3
Blinkova A.
Pegula J.[5]
6-23-66-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Shnaider D.
5-76-46-0
R128
Volynets K.
Andreeva M.
7-57-5
Sramkova R.
Wang Y.
6-46-0
Burel C.
Wang X.
4-66-26-4
Parry D.
Trevisan M.
7-56-3
Collins D.
Andreeva E.
7-637-66
Giorgi C.
Boulter K.
6-36-2
Putintseva Y.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-3
Kerber A.
Martic P.
6-36-4
Hibino N.
Williams V.
2-66-36-0
Wozniacki C.
Zhu L.
7-666-1
Podoroska N.
Krueger A.
3-66-36-3
Bouzkova M.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-16-1
Maria T.
Rus A.
7-656-2
Parrizas Diaz N.
Kessler M.
6-37-63
Hontama M.
Zhang S.
5-76-26-0
Dolehide C.
Bucsa C.
6-26-0
Stephens S.
Sherif M.
7-56-3
Dodin O.
Avanesyan E.
1-66-37-64
Bronzetti L.
Frech M.
6-26-4
Shnaider D.
Bogdan A.
5-77-666-3
Siniakova K.
Minnen G.
7-57-63
Raducanu E.
Masarova R.
6-26-3
Stearns P.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Wang X.
Schmiedlova A.
6-06-4
Pera B.
Saville D.
7-54-67-65
Osaka N.
Errani S.
6-36-1
Tomova V.
Kenin S.
6-47-65
Blinkova A.
Pliskova K.
6-12-66-4
Baptiste H.
Montgomery R.
6-24-66-1
Townsend T.
Linette M.
3-67-636-1
Yuan Y.
Gracheva V.
6-46-1
Tsurenko L.
Hovde L.
6-36-1