Naomi Osaka vs Liudmila SamsonovaIndian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 6 March 2024
hard
#41WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
Osaka N.
7-5 6-3
Samsonova L.
Osaka N.
762
Samsonova L.
530

Naomi Osaka defeated Liudmila Samsonova 7-5 6-3 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14. Naomi Osaka extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Naomi Osaka closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27MontrealR64hardNaomi Osaka4-6 7-6(6) 6-3
2025-06-16BerlinR32grassLiudmila Samsonova3-6 7-6(3) 6-4
2025-03-18MiamiR64hardNaomi Osaka6-2 6-4
2024-04-22MadridR64clayLiudmila Samsonova6-2 4-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving85% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Samsonova L.

Samsonova L.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Serve advantage — Osaka N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osaka N.Samsonova L.
70
Serve
38
60
Return
5

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Even
59%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.7
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 116). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
69
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Even
97
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 23 days (−0.3)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+199 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1723
6.7Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1775
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
5.4
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
6.3
Country comfort
5.7
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
82
86

Osaka N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Samsonova L.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 17%

Draw