Maria Sakkari vs Emma NavarroIndian Wells Quarter-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Quarter-final
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 6 March 2024
hard
#26WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$675kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Sakkari M.
5-7 6-2 6-4
Navarro E.
Sakkari M.
5662
Navarro E.
7241

Maria Sakkari defeated Emma Navarro 5-7 6-2 6-4 in the Indian Wells quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Maria Sakkari came in leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's semi-final. Maria Sakkari extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21WashingtonR16hardMaria Sakkari7-5 7-6(1)
2024-02-19DubaiR32hardMaria Sakkari6-2 6-4
2023-09-11San DiegoQFhardEmma Navarro6-4 0-6 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Navarro E.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Serve advantage — Navarro E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sakkari M.Navarro E.
24
Serve
43
39
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (101 vs 145). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
88
Break points won·Clear edge
87
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
93
Tiebreaks·Even
83
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+33 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1764
5.6Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1866
5.4
H2H
4.6
4.5
Surface form
6.7
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.3
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.6
Country comfort
5.5
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
86

Sakkari M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Navarro E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 17%

Draw