Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka — Indian Wells Round of 32

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 32
Elise Mertens
BEL24
Elise Mertens
#27WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 6 March 2024
hard
Naomi Osaka
JPN
Naomi Osaka
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Mertens E.
7-5 6-4
Osaka N.
Mertens E.
762
Osaka N.
540

Elise Mertens defeated Naomi Osaka 7-5 6-4 in the Indian Wells round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 5–2. Elise Mertens narrowed the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

2–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-23Bad HomburgR16grassNaomi Osaka6-3 6-3
2024-08-05TorontoR32hardElise Mertens6-3 6-4
2024-06-10s HertogenboschR32grassNaomi Osaka6-2 6-4
2021-03-22MiamiR16hardNaomi Osaka6-3 6-3
2020-08-24CincinnatiSFhardNaomi Osaka6-2 7-6(5)
2019-09-16OsakaSFhardNaomi Osaka6-4 6-1
2017-09-25WuhanR64hardElise Mertens6-4 1-6 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mertens E.Osaka N.
51
Serve
70
54
Return
60

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Mertens E.Osaka N.
1st serve in·Even
57%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
6.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mertens E.Osaka N.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
80
91
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Even
96
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mertens E.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Osaka N.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1847
Surface ELO
5.6+74 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1987
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.5
Surface form
5.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
5.1
Country comfort
6.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mertens E.Osaka N.
Freshness·Even
78
82

Mertens E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Osaka N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 17%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Sakkari M.[9]
6-46-0
Semi-finals
Sakkari M.[9]
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-756-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Kostyuk M.[31]
6-26-1
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[3]
Yuan Y.
6-46-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Wozniacki C.
6-41-0
Kostyuk M.[31]
Potapova A.[28]
6-07-5
Sakkari M.[9]
Navarro E.[23]
5-76-26-4
R16
Potapova A.[28]
Paolini J.[13]
7-50-66-3
Yuan Y.
Kasatkina D.[11]
4-66-46-3
Gauff C.[3]
Mertens E.[24]
6-06-2
Sakkari M.[9]
Parry D.
6-23-66-3
Navarro E.[23]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-33-66-2
Wozniacki C.
Kerber A.
6-46-2
Kostyuk M.[31]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Putintseva Y.
6-16-2
R32
Mertens E.[24]
Osaka N.
7-56-4
Kostyuk M.[31]
Vondrousova M.[7]
W/O
Sabalenka A.[2]
Raducanu E.
6-37-5
Kasatkina D.[11]
Stephens S.
2-66-46-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Noskova L.[26]
6-46-0
Wozniacki C.
Volynets K.
6-24-66-0
Potapova A.[28]
Podoroska N.
6-16-1
Paolini J.[13]
Kalinskaya A.[21]
6-33-66-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
2-66-46-3
Yuan Y.
Dolehide C.
1-66-47-62
Gauff C.[3]
Bronzetti L.
6-27-65
Parry D.
Blinkova A.
6-46-3
Navarro E.[23]
Svitolina E.[16]
6-14-66-3
Kerber A.
Kudermetova V.[17]
6-47-5
Sakkari M.[9]
Garcia C.[20]
6-36-4
Putintseva Y.
Keys M.[18]
6-46-1
R64
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.
6-36-0
Svitolina E.[16]
Siniakova K.
6-32-66-1
Paolini J.[13]
Maria T.
6-36-3
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Sramkova R.
7-56-2
Raducanu E.
Yastremska D.[30]
4-0
Kostyuk M.[31]
Hontama M.
6-46-2
Parry D.
Fernandez L.[29]
7-55-76-2
Wozniacki C.
Vekic D.[25]
7-656-3
Potapova A.[28]
Bouzkova M.
7-56-1
Bronzetti L.
Kalinina A.[32]
6-36-4
Kerber A.
Ostapenko J.[10]
5-76-36-3
Volynets K.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-46-4
Keys M.[18]
Baptiste H.
6-44-67-64
Podoroska N.
Day K.
7-636-4
Kalinskaya A.[21]
Townsend T.
7-53-66-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-36-1
Vondrousova M.[7]
Pera B.
6-06-2
Dolehide C.
Azarenka V.[27]
7-52-66-3
Stephens S.
Cirstea S.[19]
6-07-5
Kasatkina D.[11]
Dodin O.
6-37-65
Mertens E.[24]
Wang X.
6-16-4
Gauff C.[3]
Burel C.
2-66-37-64
Garcia C.[20]
Tomova V.
6-13-66-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Stearns P.
6-726-27-66
Navarro E.[23]
Tsurenko L.
4-67-57-5
Noskova L.[26]
Giorgi C.
6-37-5
Yuan Y.
Zheng Q.[8]
6-46-3
Putintseva Y.
Alexandrova E.[15]
7-56-1
Kudermetova V.[17]
Hibino N.
6-17-5
Osaka N.
Samsonova L.[14]
7-56-3
Blinkova A.
Pegula J.[5]
6-23-66-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Shnaider D.
5-76-46-0
R128
Volynets K.
Andreeva M.
7-57-5
Sramkova R.
Wang Y.
6-46-0
Burel C.
Wang X.
4-66-26-4
Parry D.
Trevisan M.
7-56-3
Collins D.
Andreeva E.
7-637-66
Giorgi C.
Boulter K.
6-36-2
Putintseva Y.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-3
Kerber A.
Martic P.
6-36-4
Hibino N.
Williams V.
2-66-36-0
Wozniacki C.
Zhu L.
7-666-1
Podoroska N.
Krueger A.
3-66-36-3
Bouzkova M.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-16-1
Maria T.
Rus A.
7-656-2
Parrizas Diaz N.
Kessler M.
6-37-63
Hontama M.
Zhang S.
5-76-26-0
Dolehide C.
Bucsa C.
6-26-0
Stephens S.
Sherif M.
7-56-3
Dodin O.
Avanesyan E.
1-66-37-64
Bronzetti L.
Frech M.
6-26-4
Shnaider D.
Bogdan A.
5-77-666-3
Siniakova K.
Minnen G.
7-57-63
Raducanu E.
Masarova R.
6-26-3
Stearns P.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Wang X.
Schmiedlova A.
6-06-4
Pera B.
Saville D.
7-54-67-65
Osaka N.
Errani S.
6-36-1
Tomova V.
Kenin S.
6-47-65
Blinkova A.
Pliskova K.
6-12-66-4
Baptiste H.
Montgomery R.
6-24-66-1
Townsend T.
Linette M.
3-67-636-1
Yuan Y.
Gracheva V.
6-46-1
Tsurenko L.
Hovde L.
6-36-1