Tommy Paul vs Alex MichelsenIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024
hard
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Paul T.
6-2 6-2
Michelsen A.
Paul T.
662
Michelsen A.
220

Tommy Paul defeated Alex Michelsen 6-2 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-12Delray BeachR16hardTommy Paul5-7 6-4 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Michelsen A.
71
Serve
34
54
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.0
4.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 157). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
78
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
87
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
91
Tiebreaks·Even
96
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+71 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1810
6.4Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1825
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.6
Surface form
6.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
6.5
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.4
Country comfort
4.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
86
61

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 29%