Tommy Paul vs Alex MichelsenDelray Beach Round of 16

Delray Beach · ATP · Round of 16
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
hard
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Paul T.
5-7 6-4 7-6
Michelsen A.
Paul T.
56772
Michelsen A.
74641

Tommy Paul defeated Alex Michelsen 5-7 6-4 7-6 in the Delray Beach round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardTommy Paul6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Michelsen A.
71
Serve
34
54
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.9
4.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 157). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
78
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
87
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
91
Tiebreaks·Even
96
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+71 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1810
6.4Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1825
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
6.6
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
8.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
67

Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast