Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir KecmanovicIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#69ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024
hard
#50ATP
1768ELO
1709Hard ELO
$756kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWW
Sonego L.
7-6 6-4
Kecmanovic M.
Sonego L.
7762
Kecmanovic M.
6140

Lorenzo Sonego defeated Miomir Kecmanovic 7-6 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Miomir Kecmanovic came in ranked #50, defending last year's round of 64. Lorenzo Sonego extended the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

43
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-23MallorcaR16grassMiomir Kecmanovic6-2 6.4-7.7 4-6
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR128clayLorenzo Sonego6-4 7-6(5)
2024-06-17HalleR32grassLorenzo Sonego7-6(6) 7-6(5)
2022-02-14Rio de JaneiroR16clayMiomir Kecmanovic7-5 6-4
2022-01-17Australian OpenR32hardMiomir Kecmanovic6-4 6-7(8) 6-2 7-5
2019-06-24AntalyaFgrassLorenzo Sonego6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-1
2019-05-20GenevaQ2clayLorenzo Sonego6-4 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Sonego L.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kecmanovic M.

Kecmanovic M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sonego L.Kecmanovic M.
41
Serve
34
38
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.2
4.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (119 vs 135). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
69
66
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
45
67
Deciding sets·Clear edge
71
56
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
88
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4Hard Elo 1702
Surface ELO
4.6+8 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1768
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.2
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
5.7
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.2
Country comfort
5.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
94

Sonego L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 42 games (7d) · Kecmanovic M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 29%