Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos TsitsipasAcapulco Quarter-final

Acapulco · ATP · Quarter-final
#5ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 February 2024
hard
#85ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
De Minaur A.
1-6 6-3 6-3
Tsitsipas S.
De Minaur A.
1662
Tsitsipas S.
6331

Alex De Minaur defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas 1-6 6-3 6-3 in the Acapulco quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, defending the title. Alex De Minaur claimed a first win over Stefanos Tsitsipas in 14 meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 13–1.

Key context

Head to head

013
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR64hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-6(3)
2024-05-06Rome MastersR16clayStefanos Tsitsipas6-1 6-2
2023-07-31Los CabosFhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4
2023-04-17BarcelonaQFclayStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-2
2022-03-21Miami MastersR32hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-3
2022-02-07RotterdamQFhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-4
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersR16hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-7(3) 7-6(3) 6-2
2021-04-19BarcelonaR16clayStefanos Tsitsipas7-5 6-3
2021-02-02Atp CupRRhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-5
2019-10-28Paris MastersR16hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4
2018-11-05NextGen FinalsFhardStefanos Tsitsipas2-4 4-1 4-3(3) 4-3(3)
2018-10-01TokyoR16hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 5-7 6-1
2017-05-01IstanbulQ1clayStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Tsitsipas S.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Tsitsipas S.
48
Serve
57
80
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
6.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 125). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
90
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
97
77
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+133 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1803
6.5Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1833
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.9
Surface form
7.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.9
Minutes 14d
7.3
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
95

De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Tsitsipas S.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 61%