Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex De MinaurIndian Wells Masters Round of 16

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#87ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 October 2021
hard
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Tsitsipas S.
6-7 7-6 6-2
De Minaur A.
Tsitsipas S.
637762
De Minaur A.
776321

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Alex De Minaur 6-7 7-6 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, but Stefanos Tsitsipas had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Stefanos Tsitsipas extended the head-to-head to 13–1.

Key context

Head to head

121
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR64hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-6(3)
2024-05-06Rome MastersR16clayStefanos Tsitsipas6-1 6-2
2024-02-26AcapulcoQFhardAlex De Minaur1-6 6-3 6-3
2023-07-31Los CabosFhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4
2023-04-17BarcelonaQFclayStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-2
2022-03-21Miami MastersR32hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-3
2022-02-07RotterdamQFhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-4
2021-04-19BarcelonaR16clayStefanos Tsitsipas7-5 6-3
2021-02-02Atp CupRRhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-5
2019-10-28Paris MastersR16hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4
2018-11-05NextGen FinalsFhardStefanos Tsitsipas2-4 4-1 4-3(3) 4-3(3)
2018-10-01TokyoR16hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 5-7 6-1
2017-05-01IstanbulQ1clayStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Tsitsipas S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tsitsipas S.De Minaur A.
57
Serve
48
39
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
55%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.1
4.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
90
95
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
77
97
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1803
Surface ELO
6.6+133 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1961
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.7
Surface form
1.8
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.7
Prev. match
7.0
5.6
Country comfort
5.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
73

Tsitsipas S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
35°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 12%