Jasmine Paolini vs Anna KalinskayaDubai Final

Dubai · WTA · Final
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 February 2024
hard
#20WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
Paolini J.
4-6 7-5 7-5
Kalinskaya A.
Paolini J.
4772
Kalinskaya A.
6551

Jasmine Paolini defeated Anna Kalinskaya 4-6 7-5 7-5 in the Dubai final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-06Indian WellsR32hardJasmine Paolini6-3 3-6 6-4
2024-01-15Australian OpenR16hardAnna Kalinskaya6-4 6-2
2021-09-13PortorozR16hardJasmine Paolini6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Kalinskaya A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Kalinskaya A.
31
Serve
36
55
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 118). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
88
Break points saved·Even
87
88
Break points won·Even
99
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
89
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+10 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1863
5.5Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1907
4.6
H2H
5.4
4.3
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
8.7
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
89

Paolini J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Kalinskaya A.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 29 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw

Final
Paolini J.
Kalinskaya A.
4-67-57-5