Anna Kalinskaya vs Jasmine Paolini — Australian Open Round of 16

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 16
Anna Kalinskaya
RUS
Anna Kalinskaya
#20WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
Jasmine Paolini
ITA26
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Kalinskaya A.
6-4 6-2
Paolini J.
Kalinskaya A.
662
Paolini J.
420

Anna Kalinskaya defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-4 6-2 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 128. Anna Kalinskaya claimed a first win over Jasmine Paolini in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-06Indian WellsR32hardJasmine Paolini6-3 3-6 6-4
2024-02-19DubaiFhardJasmine Paolini4-6 7-5 7-5
2021-09-13PortorozR16hardJasmine Paolini6-3 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Kalinskaya A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kalinskaya A.Paolini J.
36
Serve
31
39
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kalinskaya A.Paolini J.
1st serve in·Even
66%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (118 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kalinskaya A.Paolini J.
Clutch Rating·Even
88
89
Break points saved·Even
88
87
Break points won·Even
97
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kalinskaya A.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Paolini J.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1863
Surface ELO
5.4+10 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1907
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1905
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.4
Surface form
6.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.7
Minutes 14d
6.6
4.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kalinskaya A.Paolini J.
Freshness·Clear edge
84
72

Kalinskaya A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[2]
Zheng Q.[12]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Zheng Q.[12]
Yastremska D.
6-46-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Gauff C.[4]
7-626-4
Quarter-finals
Yastremska D.
Noskova L.
6-36-4
Zheng Q.[12]
Kalinskaya A.
6-746-36-1
Gauff C.[4]
Kostyuk M.
7-666-736-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Krejcikova B.[9]
6-26-3
R16
Noskova L.
Svitolina E.[19]
3-0
Zheng Q.[12]
Dodin O.
6-06-3
Yastremska D.
Azarenka V.[18]
7-666-4
Kostyuk M.
Timofeeva M.
6-26-1
Gauff C.[4]
Frech M.
6-16-2
Krejcikova B.[9]
Andreeva M.
4-66-36-2
Kalinskaya A.
Paolini J.[26]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Anisimova A.
6-36-2
R32
Yastremska D.
Navarro E.[27]
6-22-66-1
Zheng Q.[12]
Wang Y.
6-42-67-68
Anisimova A.
Badosa P.
7-56-4
Noskova L.
Swiatek I.[1]
3-66-36-4
Svitolina E.[19]
Golubic V.
6-26-3
Paolini J.[26]
Blinkova A.
7-616-4
Kalinskaya A.
Stephens S.
6-786-16-4
Kostyuk M.
Avanesyan E.
2-66-46-4
Frech M.
Zakharova A.
4-67-56-4
Gauff C.[4]
Parks A.
6-06-2
Andreeva M.
Parry D.
1-66-17-65
Krejcikova B.[9]
Hunter S.
4-67-56-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Tsurenko L.[28]
6-06-0
Timofeeva M.
Haddad Maia B.[10]
7-676-3
Azarenka V.[18]
Ostapenko J.[11]
6-17-5
Dodin O.
Burel C.
6-26-4
R64
Sabalenka A.[2]
Fruhvirtova B.
6-36-2
Zheng Q.[12]
Boulter K.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Dolehide C.
7-626-2
Wang Y.
Raducanu E.
6-44-66-4
Stephens S.
Kasatkina D.[14]
4-66-36-3
Tsurenko L.[28]
Masarova R.
6-36-4
Navarro E.[27]
Cocciaretto E.
4-66-36-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.
6-43-66-4
Golubic V.
Siniakova K.
6-32-66-4
Azarenka V.[18]
Tauson C.
6-43-66-2
Kalinskaya A.
Rus A.
6-17-5
Dodin O.
Trevisan M.
6-46-4
Burel C.
Pegula J.[5]
6-46-2
Avanesyan E.
Sakkari M.[8]
6-46-4
Kostyuk M.
Mertens E.[25]
5-76-17-66
Timofeeva M.
Wozniacki C.
1-66-46-1
Haddad Maia B.[10]
Korneeva A.
6-16-2
Frech M.
Garcia C.[16]
6-47-62
Zakharova A.
Juvan K.
6-16-1
Parks A.
Fernandez L.[32]
7-56-4
Andreeva M.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-06-2
Hunter S.
Siegemund L.
6-43-66-3
Krejcikova B.[9]
Korpatsch T.
6-26-2
Anisimova A.
Podoroska N.
6-26-3
Badosa P.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-26-3
Noskova L.
Kessler M.
6-31-66-4
Parry D.
Rakhimova K.
7-56-2
Ostapenko J.[11]
Tomljanovic A.
6-03-66-4
Yastremska D.
Gracheva V.
6-36-2
Svitolina E.[19]
Tomova V.
6-16-3
Blinkova A.
Rybakina E.[3]
6-44-67-620
Paolini J.[26]
Maria T.
6-26-3
R128
Sakkari M.[8]
Hibino N.
6-46-1
Yastremska D.
Vondrousova M.[7]
6-16-2
Tomova V.
Day K.
6-46-2
Mertens E.[25]
Sherif M.
6-22-0
Wozniacki C.
Linette M.[20]
6-22-0
Rakhimova K.
Bektas E.
6-46-4
Siegemund L.
Alexandrova E.[17]
6-23-67-69
Svitolina E.[19]
Preston T.
6-26-2
Korpatsch T.
Burrage J.
2-66-36-0
Siniakova K.
Cristian J.
6-27-5
Swiatek I.[1]
Kenin S.
7-626-2
Fernandez L.[32]
Bejlek S.
7-656-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Seidel E.
6-06-1
Pegula J.[5]
Marino R.
6-26-4
Kessler M.
Ferro F.
3-66-36-2
Dodin O.
Zhu L.[29]
6-46-3
Timofeeva M.
Cornet A.
6-26-4
Rus A.
Kalinina A.[24]
6-16-0
Tauson C.
Minnen G.
7-57-5
Parry D.
Wang X.[30]
6-32-66-3
Frech M.
Saville D.
6-756-37-5
Collins D.
Kerber A.
6-23-66-1
Noskova L.
Bouzkova M.[31]
6-17-5
Ostapenko J.[11]
Birrell K.
7-656-1
Azarenka V.[18]
Giorgi C.
6-14-66-3
Navarro E.[27]
Wang X.
6-16-757-5
Rybakina E.[3]
Pliskova K.
7-666-4
Blinkova A.
Bucsa C.
6-26-4
Paolini J.[26]
Shnaider D.
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[14]
Stearns P.
6-23-66-2
Zheng Q.[12]
Krueger A.
3-66-26-3
Boulter K.
Yuan Y.
7-57-61
Wang Y.
Cirstea S.[22]
0-67-56-2
Trevisan M.
Zarazua R.
4-66-46-2
Burel C.
Krunic A.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Bai Z.
4-67-56-2
Kostyuk M.
Liu C.
6-34-66-1
Haddad Maia B.[10]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-23-66-2
Garcia C.[16]
Osaka N.
6-47-62
Juvan K.
Potapova A.[23]
6-16-4
Dolehide C.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-4
Jabeur O.[6]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-1
Andreeva M.
Pera B.
7-56-2
Hunter S.
Errani S.
6-46-3
Anisimova A.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-36-4
Badosa P.
Townsend T.
6-16-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Vekic D.[21]
6-46-4
Tsurenko L.[28]
Bronzetti L.
3-67-56-3
Parks A.
Snigur D.
2-66-26-4
Gauff C.[4]
Schmiedlova A.
6-36-0
Tomljanovic A.
Martic P.
7-634-66-4
Korneeva A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
4-66-36-2
Stephens S.
Gadecki O.
6-36-1
Cocciaretto E.
Sun L.
6-17-5
Gracheva V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Kudermetova V.[15]
7-641-66-1
Masarova R.
Sasnovich A.
6-36-4
Zakharova A.
Putintseva Y.
2-66-06-3
Maria T.
Osorio C.
7-56-746-4
Podoroska N.
Zidansek T.
6-16-0
Kalinskaya A.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-2
Raducanu E.
Rogers S.
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.[9]
Hontama M.
2-66-46-3
Fruhvirtova B.
Bogdan A.
2-66-46-3