Nicolas Jarry vs Stan WawrinkaBuenos Aires Round of 16

Buenos Aires · ATP · Round of 16
#764ATP
1648ELO
1642Clay ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
clay
#117ATP
1678ELO
1613Clay ELO
$657kYTD
$38MCAREER
41 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLL
Jarry N.
6-7 6-2 7-6
Wawrinka S.
Jarry N.
636772
Wawrinka S.
772651

Nicolas Jarry defeated Stan Wawrinka 6-7 6-2 7-6 in the Buenos Aires round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Stan Wawrinka came in ranked #117, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Nicolas Jarry had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay. Nicolas Jarry claimed a first win over Stan Wawrinka in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-12-31DohaR16hardStan Wawrinka6-4 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Jarry N.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Wawrinka S.

Wawrinka S.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.7
6.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
48
65
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
4
30
Deciding sets·Clear edge
57
71
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
79
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.3+29 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1613
4.6Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1678
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.9
Surface form
6.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
2.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Wawrinka S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 94%