Alex De Minaur vs Grigor DimitrovRotterdam Semi-final

Rotterdam · ATP · Semi-final
#5ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
hard
#146ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$307kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
De Minaur A.
6-4 6-3
Dimitrov G.
De Minaur A.
662
Dimitrov G.
430

Alex De Minaur defeated Grigor Dimitrov 6-4 6-3 in the Rotterdam semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersQFclayAlex De Minaur6-0 6-0
2023-02-13RotterdamQFhardGrigor Dimitrov6-3 3-6 7-6(6)
2022-08-08Canada MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur7-6(4) 7-5
2020-10-19AntwerpSFhardAlex De Minaur7-6(4) 6-7(3) 6-4
2019-08-26US OpenR16hardGrigor Dimitrov7-5 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Dimitrov G.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Dimitrov G.
48
Serve
80
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
8.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
97
67
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+200 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1736
7.7Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1744
4.6
H2H
5.4
6.9
Surface form
8.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.6
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
8.5
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
69

De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Dimitrov G.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
8°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 85%