Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex De MinaurRotterdam Quarter-final

Rotterdam · ATP · Quarter-final
#146ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$307kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 February 2023
hard
#5ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Dimitrov G.
6-3 3-6 7-6
De Minaur A.
Dimitrov G.
63782
De Minaur A.
36661

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Alex De Minaur 6-3 3-6 7-6 in the Rotterdam quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Grigor Dimitrov narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Grigor Dimitrov closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 7–6.

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersQFclayAlex De Minaur6-0 6-0
2024-02-12RotterdamSFhardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-3
2022-08-08Canada MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur7-6(4) 7-5
2020-10-19AntwerpSFhardAlex De Minaur7-6(4) 6-7(3) 6-4
2019-08-26US OpenR16hardGrigor Dimitrov7-5 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Dimitrov G.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Dimitrov G.De Minaur A.
Serve
48
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (167 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
95
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
67
97
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1736
Surface ELO
7.5+200 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1961
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
80

Dimitrov G.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 54 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
7°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 89%