Tommy Paul vs Ben SheltonDallas Semi-final

Dallas · ATP · Semi-final
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 February 2024
hard
#5ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
Paul T.
6-2 6-4
Shelton B.
Paul T.
662
Shelton B.
240

Tommy Paul defeated Ben Shelton 6-2 6-4 in the Dallas semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ben Shelton came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Tommy Paul narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-16TokyoQFhardBen Shelton7-6(4) 6-3
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardBen Shelton6-4 6-3 4-6 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenQFhardTommy Paul7-6(6) 6-3 5-7 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Shelton B.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Shelton B.
71
Serve
75
54
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
71%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
9.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
86
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
87
58
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1881
Surface ELO
5.7+40 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1960
4.6
H2H
5.4
5.4
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
93

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Shelton B.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast