Tommy Paul vs Ben SheltonAustralian Open Quarter-final

Australian Open · ATP · Quarter-final
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
#6ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
Paul T.
7-6 6-3 5-7 6-4
Shelton B.
Paul T.
786563
Shelton B.
663741

Tommy Paul defeated Ben Shelton 7-6 6-3 5-7 6-4 in the Australian Open quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ben Shelton came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Tommy Paul narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in four sets, 7–6 6–3 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-05DallasSFhardTommy Paul6-2 6-4
2023-10-16TokyoQFhardBen Shelton7-6(4) 6-3
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardBen Shelton6-4 6-3 4-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Shelton B.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Shelton B.
71
Serve
75
54
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
9.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
86
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
87
58
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1881
Surface ELO
5.7+40 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1960
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
7.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
7.6
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
94

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Shelton B.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%
R128
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Munar J.
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Etcheverry T.
Barrere G.
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Coric B.[21]
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Cerundolo F.[28]
Pella G.
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Moutet C.
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Molcan A.
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Thiem D.
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Evans D.[25]
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Kudla D.
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Humbert U.
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Bonzi B.
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Djokovic N.[4]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-46-0
Popyrin A.
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4-67-656-757-646-1
Shelton B.
Zhang Z.
4-66-36-22-67-64
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Kecmanovic M.[26]
6-36-47-63
Schwartzman D.[23]
Krutykh O.
6-46-766-37-65
Kokkinakis T.
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6-16-26-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[30]
Bublik A.
6-06-733-66-46-3
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3-66-26-36-2
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6-37-666-756-3
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6-46-24-67-5
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4-62-67-676-46-2
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6-757-686-26-2
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6-36-26-2