Tommy Paul vs Taro DanielDallas Round of 16

Dallas · ATP · Round of 16
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 February 2024
hard
#203ATP
1567ELO
1512Hard ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Paul T.
6-3 6-2
Daniel T.
Paul T.
662
Daniel T.
320

Tommy Paul defeated Taro Daniel 6-3 6-2 in the Dallas round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-19Queen's ClubQ1grassTommy Paul6-3 6-4
2022-01-03Adelaide 1R16hardTommy Paul6-4 6-7(1) 6-4
2017-08-28US OpenR128hardTaro Daniel6-1 4-6 4-6 6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Daniel T.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Daniel T.
71
Serve
54
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 132). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
42
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
93
Break points won·Dominant
87
37
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
16
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.9+369 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.1Hard Elo 1512
10.0Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1567
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.4
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
67

Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast