Juncheng Shang vs Mackenzie Mcdonald — Australian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 128
CHN
Juncheng Shang
#274ATP
1746ELO
1698Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
Mackenzie Mcdonald
USA
Mackenzie Mcdonald
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Shang J.
6-3 1-6 3-6 6-4 6-2
Mcdonald M.
Shang J.
613663
Mcdonald M.
366422

Juncheng Shang defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 1-6 3-6 6-4 6-2 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #145, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32, but Juncheng Shang had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Juncheng Shang claimed a first win over Mackenzie Mcdonald in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Juncheng Shang closed it out in five sets, 6–3 1–6 3–6 6–4 6–2.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-20ZhuhaiR32hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 6-7(3) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Shang J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Shang J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shang J.Mcdonald M.
34
Serve
25
18
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Shang J.Mcdonald M.
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (89 vs 141). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Shang J.Mcdonald M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
56
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Clear edge
45
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
86
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Shang J.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Mcdonald M.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+94 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1604
6.3Overall Elo 1746
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1606
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.8
Surface form
3.7
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Minutes 14d
8.7
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Shang J.Mcdonald M.
Freshness·
—
89

Mcdonald M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%
Final
Sinner J.[4]
Medvedev D.[3]
3-63-66-46-46-3
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[4]
Djokovic N.[1]
6-16-26-766-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Zverev A.[6]
5-73-67-647-656-3
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[4]
Rublev A.[5]
6-47-656-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Hurkacz H.[9]
7-642-66-35-76-4
Zverev A.[6]
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-16-36-726-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Fritz T.[12]
7-634-66-26-3
R16
Fritz T.[12]
Tsitsipas S.[7]
7-635-76-36-3
Sinner J.[4]
Khachanov K.[15]
6-47-56-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Borges N.
6-37-645-76-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Kecmanovic M.
6-46-46-0
Djokovic N.[1]
Mannarino A.[20]
6-06-06-3
Rublev A.[5]
De Minaur A.[10]
6-46-756-746-36-0
Hurkacz H.[9]
Cazaux A.
7-667-636-4
Zverev A.[6]
Norrie C.[19]
7-53-66-34-67-63
R32
Khachanov K.[15]
Machac T.
6-47-644-67-65
Rublev A.[5]
Korda S.[29]
6-27-666-4
Cazaux A.
Griekspoor T.[28]
6-36-36-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Shang J.
6-16-11-0
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Van Assche L.
6-36-06-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Auger Aliassime F.[27]
6-36-46-3
Kecmanovic M.
Paul T.[14]
6-43-62-67-676-0
De Minaur A.[10]
Cobolli F.
6-36-36-1
Borges N.
Dimitrov G.[13]
6-736-46-27-66
Mannarino A.[20]
Shelton B.[16]
7-641-66-726-36-4
Fritz T.[12]
Marozsan F.
3-66-46-26-2
Sinner J.[4]
Baez S.[26]
6-06-16-3
Hurkacz H.[9]
Humbert U.[21]
3-66-17-646-3
Zverev A.[6]
Michelsen A.
6-27-646-2
Djokovic N.[1]
Etcheverry T.[30]
6-36-37-62
Norrie C.[19]
Ruud C.[11]
6-46-776-46-3
R64
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Thompson J.
4-67-666-27-64
Sinner J.[4]
De Jong J.
6-26-26-2
Baez S.[26]
Galan D.
7-52-66-26-4
Humbert U.[21]
Zhang Z.
6-25-76-17-63
Norrie C.[19]
Zeppieri G.
3-66-746-26-46-4
Hurkacz H.[9]
Mensik J.
6-796-15-76-16-3
Kecmanovic M.
Struff J.[24]
6-41-67-651-67-69
Fritz T.[12]
Gaston H.
6-06-36-1
Cazaux A.
Rune H.[8]
7-646-44-66-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sonego L.
6-46-736-37-63
Etcheverry T.[30]
Monfils G.
6-46-46-4
Mannarino A.[20]
Munar J.
6-36-31-62-66-3
Shelton B.[16]
Oconnell C.
6-46-13-67-65
Van Assche L.
Musetti L.[25]
6-33-66-756-36-0
Khachanov K.[15]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-34-66-3
De Minaur A.[10]
Arnaldi M.
6-36-06-3
Cobolli F.
Kotov P.
7-56-35-76-2
Korda S.[29]
Halys Q.
6-46-46-4
Rublev A.[5]
Eubanks C.
6-46-46-4
Dimitrov G.[13]
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-24-66-4
Borges N.
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
7-676-36-3
Auger Aliassime F.[27]
Grenier H.
6-13-66-16-2
Zverev A.[6]
Klein L.
7-53-64-67-657-67
Michelsen A.
Lehecka J.[32]
4-66-36-46-4
Ruud C.[11]
Purcell M.
6-36-756-33-67-67
Paul T.[14]
Draper J.
6-23-66-37-5
Shang J.
Nagal S.
2-66-37-56-4
Griekspoor T.[28]
Fils A.
3-66-17-56-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Ruusuvuori E.
3-66-716-47-616-0
Marozsan F.
Cerundolo F.[22]
7-656-46-2
Machac T.
Tiafoe F.[17]
6-46-47-65
Djokovic N.[1]
Popyrin A.
6-34-67-646-3
R128
Popyrin A.
Polmans M.
6-37-636-2
Monfils G.
Hanfmann Y.
6-46-37-5
Baez S.[26]
Wolf J.
3-66-26-33-0
De Minaur A.[10]
Raonic M.
6-766-32-0
Korda S.[29]
Kopriva V.
6-16-42-64-66-2
Zhang Z.
Coria F.
6-47-637-65
Mensik J.
Shapovalov D.
6-37-57-5
Hurkacz H.[9]
Jasika O.
7-646-46-2
Medvedev D.[3]
Atmane T.
5-76-26-41-0
Lehecka J.[32]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-36-26-3
Norrie C.[19]
Varillas J.
6-46-46-2
Ruud C.[11]
Ramos A.
6-16-36-1
Struff J.[24]
Hijikata R.
3-66-36-26-727-68
Kovacevic A.
Tabilo A.
6-727-671-66-16-3
Van Assche L.
Duckworth J.
6-726-33-66-36-3
Zeppieri G.
Lajovic D.
6-33-66-37-63
Griekspoor T.[28]
Safiullin R.
2-63-67-636-47-5
Cobolli F.
Jarry N.[18]
6-43-66-32-67-5
Etcheverry T.[30]
Murray A.
6-46-26-2
Khachanov K.[15]
Altmaier D.
5-76-37-657-63
Fils A.
Vesely J.
4-67-56-26-3
Humbert U.[21]
Goffin D.
6-27-55-76-3
Djokovic N.[1]
Prizmic D.
6-26-756-36-4
Mannarino A.[20]
Wawrinka S.
6-43-65-76-36-0
Munar J.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-36-1
Oconnell C.
Garin C.
3-67-54-66-17-5
Shelton B.[16]
Bautista Agut R.
6-27-627-5
Gaston H.
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-23-66-4
Marozsan F.
Cilic M.
6-12-66-27-5
Musetti L.[25]
Bonzi B.
7-637-644-66-2
Thompson J.
Vukic A.
3-67-636-23-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Bergs Z.
5-76-16-16-3
Sinner J.[4]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-47-56-3
De Jong J.
Cachin P.
4-66-26-36-4
Galan D.
Kubler J.
2-66-37-634-67-68
Tiafoe F.[17]
Coric B.
6-37-672-66-3
Machac T.
Mochizuki S.
7-56-17-5
Arnaldi M.
Walton A.
7-656-26-4
Kotov P.
Rinderknech A.
7-56-16-766-756-3
Halys Q.
Harris L.
4-67-657-57-62
Rune H.[8]
Nishioka Y.
6-24-67-636-4
Dimitrov G.[13]
Fucsovics M.
4-66-37-616-2
Borges N.
Marterer M.
7-57-636-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Lestienne C.
6-46-47-65
Auger Aliassime F.[27]
Thiem D.
6-37-56-755-76-3
Grenier H.
Muller A.
2-67-634-66-47-67
Ruusuvuori E.
Kypson P.
4-66-36-47-64
Zverev A.[6]
Koepfer D.
4-66-37-636-3
Michelsen A.
Mccabe J.
7-653-66-16-2
Paul T.[14]
Barrere G.
6-26-36-3
Draper J.
Giron M.
6-43-64-66-06-2
Kecmanovic M.
Watanuki Y.
4-67-56-36-4
Sonego L.
Evans D.
4-67-686-27-64
Kokkinakis T.
Ofner S.
7-612-66-746-17-68
Cerundolo F.[22]
Sweeny D.
3-66-36-42-66-2
Fritz T.[12]
Diaz Acosta F.
4-66-33-66-26-4
Rublev A.[5]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-56-43-64-67-66
Klein L.
Kwon S.
7-604-67-636-3
Eubanks C.
Daniel T.
6-46-26-3
Cazaux A.
Djere L.
6-26-736-23-66-2
Purcell M.
Valkusz M.
3-67-626-47-5
Nagal S.
Bublik A.[31]
6-46-27-65
Shang J.
Mcdonald M.
6-31-63-66-46-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Gasquet R.
7-656-16-2