Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Juncheng ShangZhuhai Round of 32

Zhuhai · ATP · Round of 32
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 20 September 2023
hard
#274ATP
1746ELO
1698Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWW
Mcdonald M.
6-4 6-7 6-3
Shang J.
Mcdonald M.
66362
Shang J.
47731

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Juncheng Shang 6-4 6-7 6-3 in the Zhuhai round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Juncheng Shang came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Mackenzie Mcdonald claimed a first win over Juncheng Shang in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-15Australian OpenR128hardJuncheng Shang6-3 1-6 3-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Shang J.

Shang J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Shang J.
25
Serve
34
10
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 143). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
76
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Clear edge
66
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1604
Surface ELO
6.0+94 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1746
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast