Mitchell Krueger vs Brandon HoltIndian Wells 1 CH Final

Indian Wells 1 CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#364ATP
1461ELO
1436Hard ELO
32 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
#657ATP
1537ELO
1507Hard ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWW
Krueger M.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Holt B.
Krueger M.
4662
Holt B.
6341

Mitchell Krueger defeated Brandon Holt 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Indian Wells 1 CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Holt came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Mitchell Krueger claimed a first win over Brandon Holt in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-03DallasQ1hardBrandon Holt1-6 7-6(1) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Krueger M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Holt B.

Holt B.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Krueger M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
0.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (149 vs 143). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
16
58
Break points saved·Even
87
85
Break points won·Clear edge
14
31
Deciding sets·Dominant
13
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
0
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 63 days (−1.2)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1436
Surface ELO
5.5+72 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1461
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1537
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
6.4
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.9
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Krueger M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast