Brandon Holt vs Mitchell KruegerDallas Qualifying Round 1

Dallas · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#657ATP
1537ELO
1507Hard ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
#364ATP
1461ELO
1436Hard ELO
32 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLLLLL
Holt B.
1-6 7-6 6-3
Krueger M.
Holt B.
17762
Krueger M.
66131

Brandon Holt defeated Mitchell Krueger 1-6 7-6 6-3 in the Dallas qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mitchell Krueger came in ranked #364, defending last year's round of 32, but Brandon Holt had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 6 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Holt B.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Krueger M.

Krueger M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Holt B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.5
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
0.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 83). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
16
Break points saved·Even
85
87
Break points won·Clear edge
31
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
79
13
Tiebreaks·Dominant
69
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+72 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1436
5.5Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1461
5.4No prior meetings
H2H
4.6
7.6
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Krueger M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast