Alex De Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli — Australian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 32
Alex De Minaur
AUS10
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
Flavio Cobolli
ITA
Flavio Cobolli
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
De Minaur A.
6-3 6-3 6-1
Cobolli F.
De Minaur A.
6663
Cobolli F.
3310

Alex De Minaur defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-3 6-1 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, defending last year's round of 16. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–3 6–1.

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-06WimbledonR16grassFlavio Cobolli5-7 6.4-7.7 3-6
2024-10-21ViennaR16hardAlex De Minaur7-6(2) 3-1 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Cobolli F.
48
Serve
20
80
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Cobolli F.
1st serve in·Even
56%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 159). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Cobolli F.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
95
76
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
97
35
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Cobolli F.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.8+126 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1810
6.2Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1896
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.9
Surface form
5.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.9
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Cobolli F.
Freshness·Clear edge
73
56

De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Cobolli F.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%
Final
Sinner J.[4]
Medvedev D.[3]
3-63-66-46-46-3
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[4]
Djokovic N.[1]
6-16-26-766-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Zverev A.[6]
5-73-67-647-656-3
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[4]
Rublev A.[5]
6-47-656-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Hurkacz H.[9]
7-642-66-35-76-4
Zverev A.[6]
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-16-36-726-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Fritz T.[12]
7-634-66-26-3
R16
Fritz T.[12]
Tsitsipas S.[7]
7-635-76-36-3
Sinner J.[4]
Khachanov K.[15]
6-47-56-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Borges N.
6-37-645-76-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Kecmanovic M.
6-46-46-0
Djokovic N.[1]
Mannarino A.[20]
6-06-06-3
Rublev A.[5]
De Minaur A.[10]
6-46-756-746-36-0
Hurkacz H.[9]
Cazaux A.
7-667-636-4
Zverev A.[6]
Norrie C.[19]
7-53-66-34-67-63
R32
Khachanov K.[15]
Machac T.
6-47-644-67-65
Rublev A.[5]
Korda S.[29]
6-27-666-4
Cazaux A.
Griekspoor T.[28]
6-36-36-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Shang J.
6-16-11-0
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Van Assche L.
6-36-06-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Auger Aliassime F.[27]
6-36-46-3
Kecmanovic M.
Paul T.[14]
6-43-62-67-676-0
De Minaur A.[10]
Cobolli F.
6-36-36-1
Borges N.
Dimitrov G.[13]
6-736-46-27-66
Mannarino A.[20]
Shelton B.[16]
7-641-66-726-36-4
Fritz T.[12]
Marozsan F.
3-66-46-26-2
Sinner J.[4]
Baez S.[26]
6-06-16-3
Hurkacz H.[9]
Humbert U.[21]
3-66-17-646-3
Zverev A.[6]
Michelsen A.
6-27-646-2
Djokovic N.[1]
Etcheverry T.[30]
6-36-37-62
Norrie C.[19]
Ruud C.[11]
6-46-776-46-3
R64
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Thompson J.
4-67-666-27-64
Sinner J.[4]
De Jong J.
6-26-26-2
Baez S.[26]
Galan D.
7-52-66-26-4
Humbert U.[21]
Zhang Z.
6-25-76-17-63
Norrie C.[19]
Zeppieri G.
3-66-746-26-46-4
Hurkacz H.[9]
Mensik J.
6-796-15-76-16-3
Kecmanovic M.
Struff J.[24]
6-41-67-651-67-69
Fritz T.[12]
Gaston H.
6-06-36-1
Cazaux A.
Rune H.[8]
7-646-44-66-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sonego L.
6-46-736-37-63
Etcheverry T.[30]
Monfils G.
6-46-46-4
Mannarino A.[20]
Munar J.
6-36-31-62-66-3
Shelton B.[16]
Oconnell C.
6-46-13-67-65
Van Assche L.
Musetti L.[25]
6-33-66-756-36-0
Khachanov K.[15]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-34-66-3
De Minaur A.[10]
Arnaldi M.
6-36-06-3
Cobolli F.
Kotov P.
7-56-35-76-2
Korda S.[29]
Halys Q.
6-46-46-4
Rublev A.[5]
Eubanks C.
6-46-46-4
Dimitrov G.[13]
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-24-66-4
Borges N.
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
7-676-36-3
Auger Aliassime F.[27]
Grenier H.
6-13-66-16-2
Zverev A.[6]
Klein L.
7-53-64-67-657-67
Michelsen A.
Lehecka J.[32]
4-66-36-46-4
Ruud C.[11]
Purcell M.
6-36-756-33-67-67
Paul T.[14]
Draper J.
6-23-66-37-5
Shang J.
Nagal S.
2-66-37-56-4
Griekspoor T.[28]
Fils A.
3-66-17-56-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Ruusuvuori E.
3-66-716-47-616-0
Marozsan F.
Cerundolo F.[22]
7-656-46-2
Machac T.
Tiafoe F.[17]
6-46-47-65
Djokovic N.[1]
Popyrin A.
6-34-67-646-3
R128
Popyrin A.
Polmans M.
6-37-636-2
Monfils G.
Hanfmann Y.
6-46-37-5
Baez S.[26]
Wolf J.
3-66-26-33-0
De Minaur A.[10]
Raonic M.
6-766-32-0
Korda S.[29]
Kopriva V.
6-16-42-64-66-2
Zhang Z.
Coria F.
6-47-637-65
Mensik J.
Shapovalov D.
6-37-57-5
Hurkacz H.[9]
Jasika O.
7-646-46-2
Medvedev D.[3]
Atmane T.
5-76-26-41-0
Lehecka J.[32]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-36-26-3
Norrie C.[19]
Varillas J.
6-46-46-2
Ruud C.[11]
Ramos A.
6-16-36-1
Struff J.[24]
Hijikata R.
3-66-36-26-727-68
Kovacevic A.
Tabilo A.
6-727-671-66-16-3
Van Assche L.
Duckworth J.
6-726-33-66-36-3
Zeppieri G.
Lajovic D.
6-33-66-37-63
Griekspoor T.[28]
Safiullin R.
2-63-67-636-47-5
Cobolli F.
Jarry N.[18]
6-43-66-32-67-5
Etcheverry T.[30]
Murray A.
6-46-26-2
Khachanov K.[15]
Altmaier D.
5-76-37-657-63
Fils A.
Vesely J.
4-67-56-26-3
Humbert U.[21]
Goffin D.
6-27-55-76-3
Djokovic N.[1]
Prizmic D.
6-26-756-36-4
Mannarino A.[20]
Wawrinka S.
6-43-65-76-36-0
Munar J.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-36-1
Oconnell C.
Garin C.
3-67-54-66-17-5
Shelton B.[16]
Bautista Agut R.
6-27-627-5
Gaston H.
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-23-66-4
Marozsan F.
Cilic M.
6-12-66-27-5
Musetti L.[25]
Bonzi B.
7-637-644-66-2
Thompson J.
Vukic A.
3-67-636-23-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Bergs Z.
5-76-16-16-3
Sinner J.[4]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-47-56-3
De Jong J.
Cachin P.
4-66-26-36-4
Galan D.
Kubler J.
2-66-37-634-67-68
Tiafoe F.[17]
Coric B.
6-37-672-66-3
Machac T.
Mochizuki S.
7-56-17-5
Arnaldi M.
Walton A.
7-656-26-4
Kotov P.
Rinderknech A.
7-56-16-766-756-3
Halys Q.
Harris L.
4-67-657-57-62
Rune H.[8]
Nishioka Y.
6-24-67-636-4
Dimitrov G.[13]
Fucsovics M.
4-66-37-616-2
Borges N.
Marterer M.
7-57-636-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Lestienne C.
6-46-47-65
Auger Aliassime F.[27]
Thiem D.
6-37-56-755-76-3
Grenier H.
Muller A.
2-67-634-66-47-67
Ruusuvuori E.
Kypson P.
4-66-36-47-64
Zverev A.[6]
Koepfer D.
4-66-37-636-3
Michelsen A.
Mccabe J.
7-653-66-16-2
Paul T.[14]
Barrere G.
6-26-36-3
Draper J.
Giron M.
6-43-64-66-06-2
Kecmanovic M.
Watanuki Y.
4-67-56-36-4
Sonego L.
Evans D.
4-67-686-27-64
Kokkinakis T.
Ofner S.
7-612-66-746-17-68
Cerundolo F.[22]
Sweeny D.
3-66-36-42-66-2
Fritz T.[12]
Diaz Acosta F.
4-66-33-66-26-4
Rublev A.[5]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-56-43-64-67-66
Klein L.
Kwon S.
7-604-67-636-3
Eubanks C.
Daniel T.
6-46-26-3
Cazaux A.
Djere L.
6-26-736-23-66-2
Purcell M.
Valkusz M.
3-67-626-47-5
Nagal S.
Bublik A.[31]
6-46-27-65
Shang J.
Mcdonald M.
6-31-63-66-46-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Gasquet R.
7-656-16-2