Yue Yuan vs Diana ShnaiderHobart Qualifying Round 1

Hobart · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#120WTA
1629ELO
1610Hard ELO
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
#18WTA
1891ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$6.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
Yuan Y.
7-5 4-6 6-4
Shnaider D.
Yuan Y.
7462
Shnaider D.
5641

Yue Yuan defeated Diana Shnaider 7-5 4-6 6-4 in the Hobart qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Diana Shnaider came in ranked #18. Yue Yuan extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07CincinnatiR64hardYue Yuan6-4 1-6 6-3
2024-06-10s HertogenboschR32grassYue Yuan1-6 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Yuan Y.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Shnaider D.

Shnaider D.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Yuan Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Yuan Y.Shnaider D.
30
Serve
41
35
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (135 vs 149). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
64
93
Break points saved·Clear edge
81
94
Break points won·Clear edge
77
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
60
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1610
Surface ELO
7.5+223 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1629
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1891
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
5.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Shnaider D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast