Alexander Bublik vs Daniel EvansAdelaide Round of 16

Adelaide · ATP · Round of 16
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
#385ATP
1588ELO
1562Hard ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLL
Bublik A.
4-6 6-2 6-1
Evans D.
Bublik A.
4662
Evans D.
6211

Alexander Bublik defeated Daniel Evans 4-6 6-2 6-1 in the Adelaide round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-11-01Paris MastersR64hardAlexander Bublik2-6 7-5 7-5
2021-08-09Canada MastersR64hardAlexander Bublik6-4 6-4
2020-01-13AdelaideR16hardDaniel Evans7-5 6-2
2019-11-21Davis Cup Finals RR: GBR vs KAZRRhardAlexander Bublik5-7 6-4 6-1
2019-03-18Miami MastersQ2hardAlexander Bublik6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Evans D.

Evans D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Evans D.
65
Serve
25
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.0
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.1
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (140 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
73
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Slight edge
67
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
3.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 77 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
8.5+275 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1562
8.9Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
1.1Overall Elo 1588
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.5
Surface form
2.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
66
100

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d) · Evans D.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%