Jack Draper vs Alexander Bublik — Adelaide Semi-final

Adelaide · ATP · Semi-final
Jack Draper
GBR
Jack Draper
#131ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
Alexander Bublik
KAZ8
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Draper J.
7-6 6-4
Bublik A.
Draper J.
7762
Bublik A.
6240

Jack Draper defeated Alexander Bublik 7-6 6-4 in the Adelaide semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Jack Draper narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayAlexander Bublik5-7 6-3 6-2 6-4
2021-06-14Queen's ClubR16grassJack Draper7-6(5) 7-6(0)
2019-06-17Queen's ClubQ1grassAlexander Bublik6-2 1-6 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draper J.Bublik A.
—
Serve
65
—
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Draper J.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.3
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 140). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Draper J.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Even
88
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
83
67
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Draper J.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 46 days (−0.7)
Bublik A.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.3Hard Elo 1783
Surface ELO
4.7+54 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Draper J.Bublik A.
Freshness·Dominant
100
66

Draper J.: 15 days rest · Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%
Final
Lehecka J.[7]
Draper J.
4-66-46-3
Semi-finals
Lehecka J.[7]
Korda S.[3]
6-26-1
Draper J.
Bublik A.[8]
7-626-4
Quarter-finals
Draper J.
Paul T.[1]
6-16-4
Korda S.[3]
Oconnell C.
6-46-4
Lehecka J.[7]
Jarry N.[2]
6-47-5
Bublik A.[8]
Musetti L.[4]
6-36-747-5
R16
Korda S.[3]
Sonego L.
6-47-610
Jarry N.[2]
Arnaldi M.
6-757-676-4
Paul T.[1]
Bolt A.
6-36-2
Draper J.
Kecmanovic M.
5-77-697-67
Lehecka J.[7]
Lajovic D.
7-54-66-3
Oconnell C.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-1
Musetti L.[4]
Thompson J.
6-46-1
Bublik A.[8]
Evans D.
4-66-26-1
R32
Evans D.
Hijikata R.
6-36-4
Shevchenko A.
Etcheverry T.[6]
7-644-67-5
Oconnell C.
Rinderknech A.
6-46-4
Thompson J.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-26-2
Bolt A.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-2
Kecmanovic M.
Mcdonald M.
6-46-2
Draper J.
Baez S.[5]
6-16-3
Sonego L.
Hanfmann Y.
7-52-67-69
Lajovic D.
Kokkinakis T.
3-66-16-4
Arnaldi M.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-46-3
Bublik A.[8]
Mccabe J.
6-26-3
Lehecka J.[7]
Walton A.
6-16-3