Jack Draper vs Alexander BublikQueen's Club Round of 16

Queen's Club · ATP · Round of 16
#145ATP
1822ELO
1704Grass ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 June 2021
grass
#11ATP
1889ELO
1802Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Draper J.
7-6 7-6
Bublik A.
Draper J.
77772
Bublik A.
65600

Jack Draper defeated Alexander Bublik 7-6 7-6 in the Queen's Club round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Jack Draper narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayAlexander Bublik5-7 6-3 6-2 6-4
2024-01-08AdelaideSFhardJack Draper7-6(2) 6-4
2019-06-17Queen's ClubQ1grassAlexander Bublik6-2 1-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.1
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
83
67
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 84 days (−1.2)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.9Grass Elo 1704
Surface ELO
6.1+98 Grass Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1889
0.0
H2H
10.0
1.6
Surface form
8.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.9
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
4.0
Country comfort
7.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
74

Draper J.: 17 days rest · Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 47%