Jack Draper vs Sebastian Baez — Adelaide Round of 32

Adelaide · ATP · Round of 32
Jack Draper
GBR
Jack Draper
#131ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
Sebastian Baez
ARG5
Sebastian Baez
#57ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Draper J.
6-1 6-3
Baez S.
Draper J.
662
Baez S.
130

Jack Draper defeated Sebastian Baez 6-1 6-3 in the Adelaide round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jack Draper came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Jack Draper extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassJack Draper6-2 6-2 2-1 RET
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersR64clayJack Draper6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve advantage — Draper J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draper J.Baez S.
—
Serve
5
—
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Draper J.Baez S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
72%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
77%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Draper J.Baez S.
Clutch Rating·Even
88
87
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Even
83
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Draper J.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 46 days (−0.7)
Baez S.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+74 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1709
7.0Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
2.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.7
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Draper J.Baez S.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
95

Draper J.: 16 days rest · Baez S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%
Final
Lehecka J.[7]
Draper J.
4-66-46-3
Semi-finals
Lehecka J.[7]
Korda S.[3]
6-26-1
Draper J.
Bublik A.[8]
7-626-4
Quarter-finals
Draper J.
Paul T.[1]
6-16-4
Korda S.[3]
Oconnell C.
6-46-4
Lehecka J.[7]
Jarry N.[2]
6-47-5
Bublik A.[8]
Musetti L.[4]
6-36-747-5
R16
Korda S.[3]
Sonego L.
6-47-610
Jarry N.[2]
Arnaldi M.
6-757-676-4
Paul T.[1]
Bolt A.
6-36-2
Draper J.
Kecmanovic M.
5-77-697-67
Lehecka J.[7]
Lajovic D.
7-54-66-3
Oconnell C.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-1
Musetti L.[4]
Thompson J.
6-46-1
Bublik A.[8]
Evans D.
4-66-26-1
R32
Evans D.
Hijikata R.
6-36-4
Shevchenko A.
Etcheverry T.[6]
7-644-67-5
Oconnell C.
Rinderknech A.
6-46-4
Thompson J.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-26-2
Bolt A.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-2
Kecmanovic M.
Mcdonald M.
6-46-2
Draper J.
Baez S.[5]
6-16-3
Sonego L.
Hanfmann Y.
7-52-67-69
Lajovic D.
Kokkinakis T.
3-66-16-4
Arnaldi M.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-46-3
Bublik A.[8]
Mccabe J.
6-26-3
Lehecka J.[7]
Walton A.
6-16-3