Jack Draper vs Sebastian BaezMonte Carlo Masters Round of 64

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#131ATP
1822ELO
1697Clay ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 April 2023
clay
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Draper J.
6-3 7-5
Baez S.
Draper J.
672
Baez S.
350

Jack Draper defeated Sebastian Baez 6-3 7-5 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #57, defending last year's round of 64. Jack Draper extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Jack Draper closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassJack Draper6-2 6-2 2-1 RET
2024-01-08AdelaideR32hardJack Draper6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve advantage — Draper J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Draper J.Baez S.
Serve
1
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
72%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
77%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.1
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (156 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
87
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Even
83
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0Clay Elo 1697
Surface ELO
4.0+21 Clay Elo edge
7.0Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.6
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
95

Draper J.: 16 days rest · Baez S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 62%