Luca Nardi vs Flavio CobolliNextGen Finals Round Robin

NextGen Finals · ATP · Round Robin
#166ATP
1585ELO
1572Hard ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 27 November 2023
hard
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Nardi L.
3-4 4-2 4-3 1-4 4-3
Cobolli F.
Nardi L.
344471473
Cobolli F.
472314332

Luca Nardi defeated Flavio Cobolli 3-4 4-2 4-3 1-4 4-3 in the NextGen Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10. Luca Nardi extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-02MontpellierR16hardLuca Nardi6-2 6-3
2025-05-07Rome MastersR128clayLuca Nardi6-3 6-4
2025-01-06AucklandR32hardLuca Nardi6-2 1-1 RET
2023-07-24UmagQ1clayFlavio Cobolli6-1 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Nardi L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nardi L.Cobolli F.
Serve
20
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
5.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
32
76
Break points saved·Even
92
96
Break points won·Clear edge
15
35
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
18
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1572
Surface ELO
7.7+238 Hard Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 1896
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.2
Minutes 14d
7.5
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
86
61

Nardi L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Cobolli F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast