Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey RublevTour Finals Round Robin

Tour Finals · ATP · Round Robin
#8ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 November 2023
hard
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Medvedev D.
6-4 6-2
Rublev A.
Medvedev D.
662
Rublev A.
420

Daniil Medvedev defeated Andrey Rublev 6-4 6-2 in the Tour Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 6–2, defending last year's round-robin. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 7–2.

Key context

Head to head

62
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-28US OpenQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3 6-4
2023-02-27DubaiFhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-2
2022-11-14Tour FinalsRRhardAndrey Rublev6-7(7) 6-3 7-6(7)
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersSFhardAndrey Rublev2-6 6-3 6-3
2021-02-08Australian OpenQFhardDaniil Medvedev7-5 6-3 6-2
2020-08-31US OpenQFhardDaniil Medvedev7-6(6) 6-3 7-6(5)
2019-09-16St. PetersburgQFcarpetDaniil Medvedev6-4 7-5
2019-08-12Cincinnati MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Rublev A.
47
Serve
55
94
Return
49

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Even
7.6
7.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
88
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
99
72
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+114 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1849
6.4Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1902
5.1
H2H
4.9
6.6
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
5.7
7.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Medvedev D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Rublev A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast