Andrey Rublev vs Daniil Medvedev — Cincinnati Masters Semi-final

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Semi-final
Andrey Rublev
RUS4
Andrey Rublev
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
Daniil Medvedev
RUS1
Daniil Medvedev
#8ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Rublev A.
2-6 6-3 6-3
Medvedev D.
Rublev A.
2662
Medvedev D.
6331

Andrey Rublev defeated Daniil Medvedev 2-6 6-3 6-3 in the Cincinnati Masters semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 7–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Andrey Rublev narrowed the head-to-head to 7–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–7
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2023-08-28US OpenQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3 6-4
2023-02-27DubaiFhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-2
2022-11-14Tour FinalsRRhardAndrey Rublev6-7(7) 6-3 7-6(7)
2021-02-08Australian OpenQFhardDaniil Medvedev7-5 6-3 6-2
2020-08-31US OpenQFhardDaniil Medvedev7-6(6) 6-3 7-6(5)
2019-09-16St. PetersburgQFcarpetDaniil Medvedev6-4 7-5
2019-08-12Cincinnati MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Medvedev D.
55
Serve
47
52
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rublev A.Medvedev D.
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Even
7.9
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rublev A.Medvedev D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
96
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
72
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rublev A.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Medvedev D.
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1849
Surface ELO
6.7+114 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1977
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.6
Surface form
8.6
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
5.3
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.5
Country comfort
6.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rublev A.Medvedev D.
Freshness·Slight edge
95
87

Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Medvedev D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%
Final
Zverev A.[3]
Rublev A.[4]
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Zverev A.[3]
Tsitsipas S.[2]
6-43-67-64
Rublev A.[4]
Medvedev D.[1]
2-66-36-3
Quarter-finals
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
6-25-76-1
Zverev A.[3]
Ruud C.[8]
6-16-3
Rublev A.[4]
Paire B.
6-23-66-3
Medvedev D.[1]
Carreno Busta P.[7]
6-16-1
R16
Rublev A.[4]
Monfils G.
7-627-65
Carreno Busta P.[7]
Hurkacz H.[9]
7-667-63
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Sonego L.
5-76-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Berrettini M.[5]
6-46-3
Zverev A.[3]
Pella G.
6-26-3
Ruud C.[8]
Schwartzman D.[10]
6-46-3
Paire B.
Isner J.
7-616-726-1
Medvedev D.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-36-3
R32
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Korda S.
7-656-3
Sonego L.
Paul T.
7-696-2
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Khachanov K.
6-756-36-4
Berrettini M.[5]
Ramos A.
6-756-37-5
Zverev A.[3]
Harris L.
7-636-2
Pella G.
Fognini F.
6-17-5
Schwartzman D.[10]
Tiafoe F.
6-14-66-4
Ruud C.[8]
Opelka R.
6-756-07-64
Paire B.
Shapovalov D.[6]
6-34-67-5
Isner J.
Sinner J.[11]
5-77-646-4
Monfils G.
De Minaur A.[14]
6-37-5
Rublev A.[4]
Cilic M.
5-76-36-1
Carreno Busta P.[7]
Koepfer D.
6-46-2
Hurkacz H.[9]
Murray A.
7-646-3
Dimitrov G.
Bublik A.
6-37-5
Medvedev D.[1]
Mcdonald M.
6-26-2
R64
Bublik A.
Giron M.
3-66-37-65
Paul T.
Garin C.[16]
4-66-36-4
Opelka R.
Moutet C.
7-634-66-4
Korda S.
Djere L.
6-46-4
Sonego L.
Alcaraz C.
6-37-66
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Fucsovics M.
7-606-3
Khachanov K.
Anderson K.
6-26-4
Ramos A.
Fritz T.
4-66-46-4
Harris L.
Nishioka Y.
6-36-4
Fognini F.
Basilashvili N.
7-636-3
Pella G.
Goffin D.[15]
6-36-3
Schwartzman D.[10]
Evans D.
6-24-66-3
Tiafoe F.
Humbert U.
7-57-69
Paire B.
Kecmanovic M.
5-76-36-2
Isner J.
Norrie C.
4-67-656-4
Sinner J.[11]
Delbonis F.
6-27-5
De Minaur A.[14]
Krajinovic F.
0-66-46-4
Monfils G.
Lajovic D.
7-606-2
Cilic M.
Karatsev A.
7-56-3
Koepfer D.
Struff J.
7-625-76-3
Murray A.
Gasquet R.
6-46-4
Hurkacz H.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-16-736-1
Dimitrov G.
Bautista Agut R.[13]
6-36-4
Mcdonald M.
Nakashima B.
7-56-2