Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luciano DarderiGuayaquil CH Round of 16

Guayaquil CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
clay
#18ATP
1835ELO
1836Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
Ugo Carabelli C.
4-6 7-6 6-2
Darderi L.
Ugo Carabelli C.
47762
Darderi L.
66521

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Luciano Darderi 4-6 7-6 6-2 in the Guayaquil CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Luciano Darderi came in ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Camilo Ugo Carabelli claimed a first win over Luciano Darderi in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-20UmagSFclayLuciano Darderi7-6(6) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Darderi L.

Darderi L.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Darderi L.
24
Serve
46
28
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
5.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
78
Break points saved·Even
90
94
Break points won·Clear edge
62
50
Deciding sets·Even
96
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1741
Surface ELO
5.5+95 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1835
4.6
H2H
5.4
7.6
Surface form
7.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
4.9
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest · Darderi L.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast