Nicolas Jarry vs Adrian MannarinoBasel Round of 32

Basel · ATP · Round of 32
#211ATP
1648ELO
1574Hard ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 October 2023
hard
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Jarry N.
7-6 6-7 6-4
Mannarino A.
Jarry N.
786262
Mannarino A.
667741

Nicolas Jarry defeated Adrian Mannarino 7-6 6-7 6-4 in the Basel round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #40, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jarry N.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Jarry N.Mannarino A.
Serve
37
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.4
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
48
65
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Dominant
4
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
57
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
79
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1574
Surface ELO
5.9+74 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1673
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
7.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
73

Mannarino A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast