Caroline Garcia vs Madison KeysZhuhai Round Robin

Zhuhai · WTA · Round Robin
#772WTA
32 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 October 2023
hard
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Garcia C.
6-3 7-6
Keys M.
Garcia C.
6772
Keys M.
3630

Caroline Garcia defeated Madison Keys 6-3 7-6 in the Zhuhai round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Caroline Garcia narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-20DubaiR32hardMadison Keys7-5 6-4
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayMadison Keys6-4 7-6(3)
2018-01-15Australian OpenR16hardMadison Keys6-3 6-2
2016-09-26WuhanR32hardMadison Keys6-3 6-4
2014-04-19Fed Cup WG PO: USA vs FRARRhardCaroline Garcia6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Garcia C.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Garcia C.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Garcia C.Keys M.
Serve
36
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (111 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
72
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
96
Break points won·Dominant
50
90
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
82
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
3.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast