Madison Keys vs Caroline Garcia — Dubai Round of 32

Dubai · WTA · Round of 32
Madison Keys
USA
Madison Keys
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 February 2023
hard
FRA4
Caroline Garcia
#772WTA
32 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
Keys M.
7-5 6-4
Garcia C.
Keys M.
762
Garcia C.
540

Madison Keys defeated Caroline Garcia 7-5 6-4 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

3–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-23ZhuhaiRRhardCaroline Garcia6-3 7-6(3)
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayMadison Keys6-4 7-6(3)
2018-01-15Australian OpenR16hardMadison Keys6-3 6-2
2016-09-26WuhanR32hardMadison Keys6-3 6-4
2014-04-19Fed Cup WG PO: USA vs FRARRhardCaroline Garcia6-4 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Garcia C.

Garcia C.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Keys M.Garcia C.
36
Serve
—
29
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Keys M.Garcia C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
7.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 111). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Keys M.Garcia C.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
72
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
91
Break points won·Dominant
90
50
Deciding sets·Even
97
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Keys M.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Garcia C.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
7.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
6.6
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Keys M.Garcia C.
Freshness·
84
—

Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw

Final
Krejcikova B.
Swiatek I.[1]
6-46-2
Semi-finals
Krejcikova B.
Pegula J.[3]
6-15-76-0
Swiatek I.[1]
Gauff C.[5]
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Pegula J.[3]
Muchova K.
W/O
Swiatek I.[1]
Pliskova K.
W/O
Krejcikova B.
Sabalenka A.[2]
0-67-626-1
Gauff C.[5]
Keys M.
6-27-5
R16
Krejcikova B.
Kvitova P.[12]
6-36-2
Gauff C.[5]
Rybakina E.[9]
W/O
Swiatek I.[1]
Samsonova L.[14]
6-16-0
Muchova K.
Bencic B.[8]
6-16-4
Keys M.
Azarenka V.[15]
6-26-1
Pegula J.[3]
Bogdan A.
6-46-3
Pliskova K.
Kalinina A.
7-56-766-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Ostapenko J.[13]
2-66-16-1
R32
Samsonova L.[14]
Zheng Q.
W/O
Swiatek I.[1]
Fernandez L.
6-16-1
Rybakina E.[9]
Bouzkova M.
7-56-2
Gauff C.[5]
Sasnovich A.
6-06-4
Bencic B.[8]
Kostyuk M.
6-777-656-4
Pegula J.[3]
Tomova V.
6-25-76-1
Muchova K.
Cirstea S.
6-47-64
Kalinina A.
Yastremska D.
5-76-26-3
Pliskova K.
Sakkari M.[6]
6-16-2
Keys M.
Garcia C.[4]
7-56-4
Azarenka V.[15]
Anisimova A.
4-66-47-65
Krejcikova B.
Kasatkina D.[7]
6-44-67-5
Kvitova P.[12]
Putintseva Y.
6-46-4
Ostapenko J.[13]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-0
Sabalenka A.[2]
Davis L.
6-06-1
Bogdan A.
Rogers S.
7-636-3
R64
Kalinina A.
Kudermetova V.[10]
6-35-77-5
Pliskova K.
Vondrousova M.
6-36-4
Keys M.
Paolini J.
6-16-1
Bouzkova M.
Kenin S.
6-16-1
Bogdan A.
Siegemund L.
7-56-3
Ostapenko J.[13]
Zavatska K.
6-16-4
Davis L.
Teichmann J.
6-44-66-3
Yastremska D.
Cornet A.
6-26-3
Kostyuk M.
Oz I.
4-66-46-2
Sasnovich A.
Masarova R.
2-66-46-4
Samsonova L.[14]
Badosa P.
6-737-656-4
Rybakina E.[9]
Andreescu B.
6-36-4
Rogers S.
Liu C.
6-46-4
Kvitova P.[12]
Trevisan M.
6-26-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Collins D.
6-36-4
Azarenka V.[15]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-37-5
Tomova V.
Kanepi K.
6-36-1
Muchova K.
Pera B.
6-16-4
Cirstea S.
Haddad Maia B.[11]
4-67-677-5
Putintseva Y.
Martic P.
6-40-66-2
Fernandez L.
Grabher J.
6-46-2
Krejcikova B.
Begu I.
6-46-2
Zheng Q.
Zhang S.
6-36-1
Anisimova A.
Zvonareva V.
6-36-2